https://www.engineeringnews.co.za

South Africa faces weak long-term growth outlook and rising debt – Moody's

South Africa faces weak long-term growth outlook and rising debt – Moody's

Photo by Reuters

16th May 2019

By: African News Agency

  

Font size: - +

South Africa's new government faces significant challenges in raising growth, stabilising debt, and strengthening state-owned enterprises and institutions, Moody's Investors Service has said.

Moody's, the only one out of the three major ratings agencies that still has South Africa's credit standing at investment grade, said its economic growth would remain one of the lowest among Baa3-rated sovereigns.

After his ruling ANC retained power at last week's general elections, albeit with a reduced majority, President Cyril Ramaphosa is putting together a new cabinet that must pursue policies that kickstart the stuttering economy and help create new jobs in a country grappling with 27.6% unemployment.

The National Treasury has forecast lethargic gross domestic product (GDP) expansion of 1.5% in 2019 compared with 0.8% last year. The budget deficit is expected to widen to 4.5% of GDP in the 2019/20 fiscal year from 4.2% in 2018/19, due to weak economic growth and tax revenue.

"While South Africa has strengths, including a favourable government debt structure and a large pool of domestic investors, in the absence of effective policy change, the sovereign's credit profile will most likely continue to erode, with fiscal strength weakening and growth remaining low," said Lucie Villa, a Moody's vice president and co-author of the report.

"Fading prospects of policies that will sustain fiscal and economic strength, alongside any signs of diminishing resilience to shocks, would put downward pressure on the country's rating."

Moody's said one of the main challenges of the new government would be to arrest and potentially reverse the long-term decline in South Africa's growth potential. Given the difficulty of the task, it said structurally low growth would continue to weigh on the country's economic strength in the next few years.

The new administration would also face the challenging task of arresting and ultimately reversing the rising debt trend, Moody's added, noting that the government debt burden was expected to rise to 65% of GDP by 2023, or over 70% including guarantees to cash strapped state power utility Eskom.

Edited by African News Agency

Article Enquiry

Email Article

Save Article

Feedback

To advertise email advertising@creamermedia.co.za or click here

Showroom

Columbus Stainless
Columbus Stainless

Columbus Stainless, based in Middelburg, Mpumalanga, is Africa’s only producer of stainless steel flat products. In addition, Columbus is the only...

VISIT SHOWROOM 
ATI Systems
ATI Systems

ATI systems comprises five divisions: electrical assemblies, drives and controls, feedback sensors, enclosures, and strip guiding.

VISIT SHOWROOM 

Latest Multimedia

sponsored by

Option 1 (equivalent of R125 a month):

Receive a weekly copy of Creamer Media's Engineering News & Mining Weekly magazine
(print copy for those in South Africa and e-magazine for those outside of South Africa)
Receive daily email newsletters
Access to full search results
Access archive of magazine back copies
Access to Projects in Progress
Access to ONE Research Report of your choice in PDF format

Option 2 (equivalent of R375 a month):

All benefits from Option 1
PLUS
Access to Creamer Media's Research Channel Africa for ALL Research Reports, in PDF format, on various industrial and mining sectors including Electricity; Water; Energy Transition; Hydrogen; Roads, Rail and Ports; Coal; Gold; Platinum; Battery Metals; etc.

Already a subscriber?

Forgotten your password?

MAGAZINE & ONLINE

SUBSCRIBE

RESEARCH CHANNEL AFRICA

SUBSCRIBE

CORPORATE PACKAGES

CLICK FOR A QUOTATION







301

sq:0.047 0.913s - 124pq - 2rq
Subscribe Now