https://www.engineeringnews.co.za

Investors in metals look past world's low-growth forecast

2nd August 2016

By: Bloomberg

  

Font size: - +

NEW YORK – Not even the dimming global growth outlook is enough to scare away investors in metals and mining.

Money is pouring into industrial metals and the companies that produce them. Those investors seems undeterred by World Bank and International Monetary Fund forecasts of sluggish economies after the UK's decision in June to leave the European Union added to uncertainty.

The enthusiasm for metals comes as expectations mount that policy makers around the world will take stronger action to counter the slowdown. The market also is beginning to look beyond Brexit and turn its attention toward the rising demand for key metals and slower production. Copper, zinc and nickel are pointing to tighter supplies, Commerzbank AG said in a report last week.

"These are investors speculating that future demand will grow as a result of increased industrial activity from fiscal and monetary support," said Darwei Kung, a portfolio manager at the $2.5-billion Deutsche Enhanced Commodity Strategy Fund. “Since 2015, there hasn’t been much incremental investment. It takes so long for capacity to come online. The balance should shift from surplus to deficit.”

There are signs fueling the optimism for demand.

In China, the largest user of industrial metals, the real-estate sector grew faster than the overall economy in the second quarter. It may spur the country to speed up expansion of power-distribution networks and related construction through 2020, according to Economic Information Daily. In the US, purchases of new single-family homes rose in June to the highest level in more than eight years. 

Construction accounts for about 30% of global copper demand, while electrical networks represent almost a fifth, according to Wood Mackenzie Ltd. Zinc and nickel are used to rust-proof steel, while aluminum can be used as a substitute for copper in some applications.

A gauge of growth rates for raw materials used in factories — including metals, rubber, plywood and burlap — has been signaling expansion since April. The JoC-ECRI Industrial Materials Price Index has reached the highest level since 2011, when the world economy grew 4.2%. This year, the IMF forecasts 3.1% expansion. The index includes commodities that aren’t traded on futures exchanges like ethylene and red oak, and are less influenced by investor sentiment.

Copper, long considered a bellwether for economic growth, has rebounded 14% from a six-year low in January on the Comex in New York, as imports by China surged in the first half to a record. Even with slower economic growth in the world's No. 2 economy and elsewhere, along with smaller mine disruptions and new supply coming online, the market isn't flooded, according to Freeport-McMoran Inc., the largest publicly traded copper producer.

“In the projected medium term, it looks like we’re going to be having deficits even with very modest demand growth,” Richard Adkerson, the chief executive officer of Freeport, said last month.

Edited by Bloomberg

Article Enquiry

Email Article

Save Article

Feedback

To advertise email advertising@creamermedia.co.za or click here

Showroom

Egoli Gas (Pty) Ltd
Egoli Gas (Pty) Ltd

As a reticulator, Egoli Gas provides natural gas to homes and businesses via underground pipes.

VISIT SHOWROOM 
VEGA Controls SA (Pty) Ltd
VEGA Controls SA (Pty) Ltd

For over 60 years, VEGA has provided industry-leading products for the measurement of level, density, weight and pressure. As the inventor of the...

VISIT SHOWROOM 

Latest Multimedia

sponsored by

Option 1 (equivalent of R125 a month):

Receive a weekly copy of Creamer Media's Engineering News & Mining Weekly magazine
(print copy for those in South Africa and e-magazine for those outside of South Africa)
Receive daily email newsletters
Access to full search results
Access archive of magazine back copies
Access to Projects in Progress
Access to ONE Research Report of your choice in PDF format

Option 2 (equivalent of R375 a month):

All benefits from Option 1
PLUS
Access to Creamer Media's Research Channel Africa for ALL Research Reports, in PDF format, on various industrial and mining sectors including Electricity; Water; Energy Transition; Hydrogen; Roads, Rail and Ports; Coal; Gold; Platinum; Battery Metals; etc.

Already a subscriber?

Forgotten your password?

MAGAZINE & ONLINE

SUBSCRIBE

RESEARCH CHANNEL AFRICA

SUBSCRIBE

CORPORATE PACKAGES

CLICK FOR A QUOTATION







301

sq:0.064 1.167s - 140pq - 2rq
Subscribe Now