Aviation executives expect rise in airline profitability in months ahead
Airline CFOs and heads of cargo have reported a decline in profitability in the first quarter of this year, but expect profitability to rise over the coming 12 months.
Nevertheless, the International Air Transport Association’s (Iata’s) latest quarterly business confidence index, recorded a wide range in responses from executives, with the overall expectations for the coming 12 months being less positive than that recorded in the January survey.
On the demand side, the survey responses were consistent with the robust growth seen in both passenger and freight volumes at the start of this year.
“Our respondents remain very positive about demand prospects for the year ahead; more than three-quarters expect passenger volumes to rise, while the forward-looking weighted-average score for freight has now risen in each of the past four quarterly surveys,” Iata said in a statement this week.
The industry body added that 41% of respondents reported a yearly increase in operating costs in the first quarter of this year – the highest proportion in four years – reflecting a combination of higher fuel prices and rising labour cost pressures.
“These trends are expected to continue over the year ahead. The forward-looking weighted-average score rose to its highest level since April 2012.”
The downward trend in passenger yields has showed tentative signs of turning around in recent months, and 35% of survey respondents reported higher yields in the first quarter of this year compared with a year ago.
Meanwhile, heads of cargo are confident about prospects for freight yields over the coming 12 months. The forward-looking weighted-average score for freight yields jumped above the 50-mark for the first time since July 2014.
Airline employment activity, meanwhile, increased for the ninth consecutive quarter.
“More than one-third of respondents reported that they expect to increase employment levels over the next 12 months.”
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