Instead of being the $11-billion-a-year-type industry that it is today, the platinum business has the potential to be a $35-billion-a-year industry by 2050, Minerals Council South Africa CEO Roger Baxter said this month..

Baxter made this statement in response to a question put to him during a virtual Platinum Group Metals (PGMs) Industry Day event attended by 230 people and covered by Engineering News & Mining Weekly.

At the event, Baxter was asked what the Minerals Council would request of the South African government.

“If you had one wish, what would you ask the government to do for the PGMs industry?” asked mining luminary Bernard Swanepoel, who moderated the online event.

“I would ask them to buy into our draft national platinum strategy and to work with us jointly to develop the global platinum market, including some investing in it, including co-hosting together,” was Baxter’s response.

“If government helped invest in growing global platinum demand, together, it’s going to create economic development for this country 100 years into the future. “I actually think it’s probably one of the most sensible investments. Putting a couple of hundred million rands into co-funding the effort of business in growing demand and investment at upper levels, and the hydrogen economy, I think, would be brilliant,” Baxter added.

The draft national platinum strategy is on the Minerals Council website.

“We’ve basically said that instead of being an $11-billion-a-year type industry that we are at the moment, we are saying that, by 2050, we could have platinum as a $35-billion-a-year industry, if we can grow the demand for platinum.

“It’s a demand story. Growth can only happen if there’s demand for the product. But we’ve got 87% of the world’s known platinum reserves. “We could mine it for huge benefit for the economy in the future if we continue to develop and grow the markets into the future. That’s key.

“Through the platinum leadership forum, we are trying to drive the agenda and we’ve had some good engagements with Minister Gwede Mantashe, I must say.

“Each of our leadership forums has had a discussion with him. We’ve taken him through the draft national platinum strategy and there are further engagements taking place on these specific types of strategies,” Baxter said.

Swanepoel had put it to him earlier that he was speaking about platinum as if, suddenly, it had great uses.

“I remember years ago, when we famously ran a campaign as a gold mining company, saying platinum is only good to shove up the back end of a motor car. But, perhaps, there’s more to platinum than being shoved up the back end of a motor car,” said former Harmony Gold CEO Swanepoel.

On the comparison with gold, Baxter responded: “Two quick issues, the first from the scarcity value point of view. If you take all the gold that’s ever been mined in the history of humankind, which is about 180 000 t, you could fill up roughly three and a half to four Olympic-size swimming pools from a volume perspective.

“If you take all the platinum that’s ever been mined in the history of humankind, you could basically fill up an Olympic-size swimming pool ankle deep. “Look at the uses of platinum and what’s happening at the moment in terms of platinum’s investment demand angle, the significant progress that’s been made on the platinum jewellery side in countries like India and for the future in countries like China; that’s something that Platinum Guild International is working on – and what’s being done on the industrial application side, the emerging areas around nanotechnology and other industrial uses; then, in terms of clean air and the hydrogen economy and how it’s starting to really change the world – there’s a hydrogen roadmap being developed for South Africa.”