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Aubrey Matshiqi

Aubrey Matshiqi

Aubrey Matshiqi, Independent Political Analyst -

The EFF’s dual character

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th August 2014 Where do the Economic Freedom Fighters (EFF) come from, and where are they going? In the lead-up to the 1949 national conference of the African National Congress (ANC), the Youth League tried to interest the then president of the ANC Dr AB Xuma in the idea of adopting a radical programme of... 

SA on brink of economic crisis despite assurances  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th July 2014 Is the South African economy on the brink of disaster? Or, to put it differently, is South Africa itself on the brink of disaster? Last month, ratings agency Standard and Poor's downgraded the sovereign rating of our country to just one notch above investment grade, while its counterpart, Fitch,... 

SA on brink of economic crisis despite assurances

SA should elect a future that foregrounds the greater good

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th June 2014 As they usually say after an election, the people have spoken. The question is: What did they say? In my estimation, what we understood them to be saying depends on our economic, social, political and historical vantage points. It also depends on whether we see our past, present and future as... 

SA should elect a future that foregrounds the greater good
Political analyst Aubrey Matshiqi

Reflections on 2014 elections

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     23rd May 2014 The 2014 general election is, in terms of the results, most probably the most interesting to decode since the advent of democracy in 1994. While the single-party dominance of the African National Congress (ANC) is still in place at national level, the different results that were achieved by the... 

Moral, ethical issues not major issues for ANC voters despite Nkandlagate

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th April 2014 There is no issue or factor that, on its own, will determine whether the African National Congress (ANC) gains or loses support in the May election. While the anger and disappointment of some sections of our country’s citizenry over the response of President Jacob Zuma and his party, the ANC, to... 

Promises, promises . . .

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     21st March 2014 Critical and strategic national conversations seldom occur during an election year and this year is not going to be an exception. As evidenced by the content of the election manifestos of different political parties, election pork pies, pipe dreams and things utopian have taken centre stage. As... 

DA-Agang fiasco damaged opposition politics  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th February 2014 The United Party was the ruling party of South Africa from 1934 to 1948, when the National Party came to power. The National Party was in power for 46 years  – until it was dislodged by the African National Congress (ANC) in 1994. In short, single-party dominance has been with us for 66 years and... 

DA-Agang fiasco damaged opposition politics

Zuma booing an indication of citizens’ unhappiness 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th January 2014 At the memorial service for Nelson Mandela last month, President Jacob Zuma was jeered, booed and heckled by some sections of the crowd in front of tens of heads of State who were in the country to unite with us in our moment of grief. Obviously, the conduct was shameful and it betrayed a serious... 

Zuma booing an indication of citizens’ unhappiness

Ruling alliance a mess as ANC loses plot 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th December 2013 A year ago, the African National Congress (ANC) held its centenary national conference in Mangaung, where President Jacob Zuma won the battle for the presidency of the ruling party by a wide margin. Proceedings at the national conference defied the expectations of what many thought, and others... 

Ruling alliance a mess as ANC loses plot

Race and the 2014 election 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th November 2013 Because of apartheid and colonialism, race was the main social contradiction before the democratic breakthrough of 1994. As we approach the 2014 general election, does race still matter? If it still does, will it shape the outcome of the election? In response to the question, there are several... 

Race and the 2014 election

Gauteng ANC calling on Mbeki to be Zuma’s cheerleader, flower girl  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th October 2013 According to newspaper reports, the African National Congress (ANC) in Gauteng would like former President Thabo Mbeki to join the 2014 election campaign effort of the ruling party in the province of gold. 

Gauteng ANC calling on Mbeki to be Zuma’s cheerleader, flower girl

Reflections on 2014 elections 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th September 2013 In the 2009 general election, the African National Congress (ANC) won 11 650 748 votes (65.9% of the vote) and the Democratic Alliance (DA) won 2 945 829 votes, which amounted to 16.66% of the vote. The DA went up by 4.29%, while the ANC went down 3.79% from the previous election. What this means... 

Reflections on 2014 elections

Mandela should not be seen as a commodity 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     12th July 2013 To whom does Nelson Mandela belong? Who owns him?By way of answering this question, let me start with a trite remark: If Mandela were an ordinary villager from Qunu, in the Eastern Cape, the question of who owns him would never arise. 

Perfect storm of economic, political developments is avoidable

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th June 2013 Worries about the current economic situation and the possibility of more instability in the mining sector must be understood in terms of the economic impact of political uncertainty and the political impact of economic uncertainty.  

Guptagate reignites concerns about national security

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th May 2013 It was with a sense of irritation that many South Africans greeted the news of the unauthorised landing at the Waterkloof Air Force base of a civilian aircraft carrying members of the Gupta family and their guests.  

CAR incident highlights importance of trust between govt, citizens 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     19th April 2013 There is one thing that governments all over the world, democratic and undemocratic, have in common: they all seem to think that foreign policy is an esoteric area of human endeavour that is beyond the grasp of the mere mortals who happen to be the citizens of the countries they govern or misrule.  

Ramphele’s Agang under the spotlight  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th March 2013 In February, Mamphela Ramphele, a former black consciousness activist, University of Cape Town vice chancellor and World Bank mMD, launched a ‘party political platform’ called Agang (Build!). 

SA needs qualitatively different political, economic system

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th February 2013 In the months leading up to the election of Jacob Zuma as head of State in 2009, there was a lot of concern about his ability to govern a modern economy and State. After his inauguration in May 2009, and after he had given what was a confidence-building inauguration address, the concern gave way... 

Mangaung a bit of a damp squib, but not uninteresting 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th January 2013 The Mangaung conference of the African National Congress (ANC) has come and gone. Will the lot of the ordinary South African be better or worse, and has the conference taken the country closer towards achieving success in the battle against poverty, unemployment and inequality? 

Role of factionalism in lead-up to Mangaung 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th December 2012 Essop Pahad, an African National Congress (ANC) luminary and former Minister in the Presidency during the reign of Thabo Mbeki, says that all members of the ANC must vote in leadership elections.  

Motlanthe reticence pointing to Zuma re-election at Mangaung

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th November 2012 We are now a month away from the Mangaung national conference of the African National Congress (ANC) and, at the time of writing, it is still not clear whether Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe is a presidential candidate. If he does eventually enter the race, will it not be too late? Or is his... 

Race for ANC top job set to excite popular imagination 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th October 2012 The African National Congress (ANC) leadership nomination process is finally upon us. Members of the ANC have until November 26 to nominate their preferred leaders, but it is the race for the presidency of the party that will excite the popular imagination.  

Marikana tragedy may well be turning point in battle for ANC presidency 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th September 2012 Is the Marikana tragedy a turning point in the battle for the presidency of the African National Congress (ANC)? Specifically, is the tragedy a turning point for President Jacob Zuma? If it is, will former ANC Youth League president Julius Malema benefit the most from the tragic death of 44... 

Lead-up to Mangaung exciting South Africa’s popular imagination 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th August 2012 In October, if things go according to schedule, the African National Congress (ANC) will officially start the leadership nominations process, two months before its fifty-third national conference.  

No radicalism in ANC policy proposals  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th July 2012 The national policy conference of the African National Congress (ANC) has come and gone. What should we make of the policy proposals that were adopted, and was the conference more or less about leadership preferences than it was about changing the policy direction of the country? 

Reflections on The Spear saga 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th June 2012 It is 23:54. Two-and-a-half hours ago, I arrived from the University of Cape Town (UCT), where I was part of a panel discussion on the controversial painting depicting the genitals of President Jacob Zuma, The Spear. I could have written this article on the plane, but felt the need to do it in... 

Criminalisation of the State  

By: Martin Zhuwakinyu     18th May 2012 Last month, not for the first time, I wrote in another publication about what I call the ‘Deep State’. In the article, I explained that the Deep State comes into being when there is a confluence of political, business, intelligence and criminal interests that are of a mutually reinforcing amd... 

SA’s leadership crisis reaches beyond the political realm 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th April 2012 How is the decision to suspend African National Congress Youth League (ANCYL) president, Julius Malema, on top of the decision to expel him, going to impact on internal party unity and cohesion in the periods leading up to the June policy conference and the December national conference? 

Was the ANC sold a dummy during Codesa? 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     23rd March 2012 In its discussion document, The Second Transition? – Building a National Democratic Society and the Balance of Forces in 2012, the African National Congress (ANC) maintains: “. . . despite the progress made [since 1994], and despite our status as an upper-middle-income country by virtue of our... 

Youth League now unlikely to influence ANC leadership, policy battles 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     27th February 2012 With the appeals committee having upheld Malema’s conviction by the disciplinary committee of the ANC on charges of bringing the party into disrepute and sowing division, will the Youth League be able to play a critical role in policy and leadership battles in the period leading up to the... 

China not the only threat to democracy  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th January 2012 In 2010, I spent a month at the Stellenbosch Institute of Advanced Studies (STIAS) as a research fellow.  

Will Mangaung spell the end of the Zuma moment? 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th December 2011 In 2012, the focus will be on policy and leadership battles in the African National Congress (ANC). But something seems to be happening in opposition ranks. Perhaps, the policy and leadership battles will not only climax at the Mangaung conference of the ANC but also coincide with the realignment... 

Our foreign policy must err on the side of democracy, human rights  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th November 2011 Is a democratic Libya going to rise from the ashes of Muamuar Gaddafi, or is the manner in which he was killed a harbinger of things to come? 

South Africa still far from the Rainbow Nation of our dreams

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th October 2011 A few months ago, Archbishop Emeritus Desmond Tutu proposed that white people should pay a wealth tax because they benefited from apartheid.  

Malema and ANC policy, leadership battles 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th September 2011 The outcome of policy and leadership battles at the centenary conference of the African National Congress (ANC) in December 2012 will be shaped by a set of confusing variables and constant shifts in the balance of forces and support and, to some extent, by what will happen to Julius Malema and... 

Battle for mindshare rages as ANC elective conference looms 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     12th August 2011 The conviction of Schabir Shaik, President Jacob Zuma’s former financial adviser, on charges of fraud and corruption in June 2005 opened the door for the laying of similar charges against Zuma. These two events, however, opened the door for something else – the battle for mindshare.  

Calls for 100% nationalisation or 100% privatisation extremely unhelpful 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     22nd July 2011 As I was saying, hell hath no fury like a young lion scorned. I was referring to the political distance that seems to have developed between African National Congress (ANC) Youth League leader Julius Malema and ANC president Jacob Zuma.  

ANCYL likely to mobilise against Zuma in 2012 if he rejects its policy positions

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th June 2011 Imagine a séance somewhere in the vicinity of Luthuli House, the headquarters of the African National Congress (ANC). Huddled around a brazier in a room filled with the smoke and smell of incense is a group of young people whose incantations sound like a chant one has heard before. As the smoke... 

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