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Aubrey Matshiqi

Aubrey Matshiqi

Aubrey Matshiqi, Independent Political Analyst -

Perfect storm of economic, political developments is avoidable

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th June 2013 Worries about the current economic situation and the possibility of more instability in the mining sector must be understood in terms of the economic impact of political uncertainty and the political impact of economic uncertainty.  

Guptagate reignites concerns about national security

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th May 2013 It was with a sense of irritation that many South Africans greeted the news of the unauthorised landing at the Waterkloof Air Force base of a civilian aircraft carrying members of the Gupta family and their guests.  

CAR incident highlights importance of trust between govt, citizens 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     19th April 2013 There is one thing that governments all over the world, democratic and undemocratic, have in common: they all seem to think that foreign policy is an esoteric area of human endeavour that is beyond the grasp of the mere mortals who happen to be the citizens of the countries they govern or misrule.  

Ramphele’s Agang under the spotlight  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th March 2013 In February, Mamphela Ramphele, a former black consciousness activist, University of Cape Town vice chancellor and World Bank mMD, launched a ‘party political platform’ called Agang (Build!). 

SA needs qualitatively different political, economic system

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th February 2013 In the months leading up to the election of Jacob Zuma as head of State in 2009, there was a lot of concern about his ability to govern a modern economy and State. After his inauguration in May 2009, and after he had given what was a confidence-building inauguration address, the concern gave way... 

Mangaung a bit of a damp squib, but not uninteresting 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th January 2013 The Mangaung conference of the African National Congress (ANC) has come and gone. Will the lot of the ordinary South African be better or worse, and has the conference taken the country closer towards achieving success in the battle against poverty, unemployment and inequality? 

Role of factionalism in lead-up to Mangaung 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th December 2012 Essop Pahad, an African National Congress (ANC) luminary and former Minister in the Presidency during the reign of Thabo Mbeki, says that all members of the ANC must vote in leadership elections.  

Motlanthe reticence pointing to Zuma re-election at Mangaung

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th November 2012 We are now a month away from the Mangaung national conference of the African National Congress (ANC) and, at the time of writing, it is still not clear whether Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe is a presidential candidate. If he does eventually enter the race, will it not be too late? Or is his... 

Race for ANC top job set to excite popular imagination 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th October 2012 The African National Congress (ANC) leadership nomination process is finally upon us. Members of the ANC have until November 26 to nominate their preferred leaders, but it is the race for the presidency of the party that will excite the popular imagination.  

Marikana tragedy may well be turning point in battle for ANC presidency 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th September 2012 Is the Marikana tragedy a turning point in the battle for the presidency of the African National Congress (ANC)? Specifically, is the tragedy a turning point for President Jacob Zuma? If it is, will former ANC Youth League president Julius Malema benefit the most from the tragic death of 44... 

Lead-up to Mangaung exciting South Africa’s popular imagination 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th August 2012 In October, if things go according to schedule, the African National Congress (ANC) will officially start the leadership nominations process, two months before its fifty-third national conference.  

No radicalism in ANC policy proposals  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th July 2012 The national policy conference of the African National Congress (ANC) has come and gone. What should we make of the policy proposals that were adopted, and was the conference more or less about leadership preferences than it was about changing the policy direction of the country? 

Reflections on The Spear saga 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th June 2012 It is 23:54. Two-and-a-half hours ago, I arrived from the University of Cape Town (UCT), where I was part of a panel discussion on the controversial painting depicting the genitals of President Jacob Zuma, The Spear. I could have written this article on the plane, but felt the need to do it in... 

Criminalisation of the State  

By: Martin Zhuwakinyu     18th May 2012 Last month, not for the first time, I wrote in another publication about what I call the ‘Deep State’. In the article, I explained that the Deep State comes into being when there is a confluence of political, business, intelligence and criminal interests that are of a mutually reinforcing amd... 

SA’s leadership crisis reaches beyond the political realm 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th April 2012 How is the decision to suspend African National Congress Youth League (ANCYL) president, Julius Malema, on top of the decision to expel him, going to impact on internal party unity and cohesion in the periods leading up to the June policy conference and the December national conference? 

Was the ANC sold a dummy during Codesa? 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     23rd March 2012 In its discussion document, The Second Transition? – Building a National Democratic Society and the Balance of Forces in 2012, the African National Congress (ANC) maintains: “. . . despite the progress made [since 1994], and despite our status as an upper-middle-income country by virtue of our... 

Youth League now unlikely to influence ANC leadership, policy battles 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     27th February 2012 With the appeals committee having upheld Malema’s conviction by the disciplinary committee of the ANC on charges of bringing the party into disrepute and sowing division, will the Youth League be able to play a critical role in policy and leadership battles in the period leading up to the... 

China not the only threat to democracy  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th January 2012 In 2010, I spent a month at the Stellenbosch Institute of Advanced Studies (STIAS) as a research fellow.  

Will Mangaung spell the end of the Zuma moment? 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th December 2011 In 2012, the focus will be on policy and leadership battles in the African National Congress (ANC). But something seems to be happening in opposition ranks. Perhaps, the policy and leadership battles will not only climax at the Mangaung conference of the ANC but also coincide with the realignment... 

Our foreign policy must err on the side of democracy, human rights  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th November 2011 Is a democratic Libya going to rise from the ashes of Muamuar Gaddafi, or is the manner in which he was killed a harbinger of things to come? 

South Africa still far from the Rainbow Nation of our dreams

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th October 2011 A few months ago, Archbishop Emeritus Desmond Tutu proposed that white people should pay a wealth tax because they benefited from apartheid.  

Malema and ANC policy, leadership battles 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th September 2011 The outcome of policy and leadership battles at the centenary conference of the African National Congress (ANC) in December 2012 will be shaped by a set of confusing variables and constant shifts in the balance of forces and support and, to some extent, by what will happen to Julius Malema and... 

Battle for mindshare rages as ANC elective conference looms 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     12th August 2011 The conviction of Schabir Shaik, President Jacob Zuma’s former financial adviser, on charges of fraud and corruption in June 2005 opened the door for the laying of similar charges against Zuma. These two events, however, opened the door for something else – the battle for mindshare.  

Calls for 100% nationalisation or 100% privatisation extremely unhelpful 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     22nd July 2011 As I was saying, hell hath no fury like a young lion scorned. I was referring to the political distance that seems to have developed between African National Congress (ANC) Youth League leader Julius Malema and ANC president Jacob Zuma.  

ANCYL likely to mobilise against Zuma in 2012 if he rejects its policy positions

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     24th June 2011 Imagine a séance somewhere in the vicinity of Luthuli House, the headquarters of the African National Congress (ANC). Huddled around a brazier in a room filled with the smoke and smell of incense is a group of young people whose incantations sound like a chant one has heard before. As the smoke... 

Zille seeks to align DA with South Africa’s struggle heritage  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     13th May 2011 In these local government elections, the Democratic Alliance (DA) is set to take Cape Town, Nelson Mandela Bay, in Port Elizabeth, and Tshwane, and make strong gains in Johannesburg. This is not my view but that of the spokepersons of the party. Were the elections to be won, or lost, on the... 

Local govt polls promise red-hot ANC-DA contest in Western Cape and Meyerton

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     22nd April 2011 The local government election campaign is hotting up. It seems the contest between the African National Congress (ANC) and the Democratic Alliance (DA) in the Western Cape and the Meyerton municipality of Gauteng is going to be as hot as chilli.  

Reflections on this year’s local government elections 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th March 2011 If the turnout at the Rustenburg launch of the African National Congress (ANC) local government election manifesto at the end of February is anything to go by, we are heading for a low voter turnout in the upcoming local government elections.  

SA, given its young population, is pregnant with possibility  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     18th February 2011 It is said that someone turns 50 every eight seconds in the US and, in Japan, the percentage of people aged 75 and older was forecast to rise by 36% between 2005 and 2015.  

Will economic interest take precedence over democracy in SA’s engagement with Africa? 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th January 2011 In the aftermath of the global economic crisis, Africa is one of the regions of the world that are experiencing better-than-expected levels of economic growth.  

The ANC – a party in decline  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     10th December 2010 The African National Congress (ANC) turns 99 next month.  

Dissecting ANC’s hostile response to Cosatu-sponsored civil society conference  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     12th November 2010 It is not uncommon these days to hear people bemoaning the fact that the United Democratic Front (UDF) was disbanded after the unbanning of the African National Congress (ANC) in 1990.  

How Zuma pulled a fast one at ANC national general council  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     15th October 2010 The period leading up to the September national general council (NGC) of the African National Congress (ANC) turned out to be the storm before the calm. 

Development has taken a back seat in SA’s national discourse

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     17th September 2010 According to some poverty statistics, 50% of South Africans live in poverty, and about 38% of people between the ages 15 and 25 are neither in a job nor receiving an education.  

Networks of corruption more complex than many think

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     20th August 2010 The conviction of former national police commissioner Jackie Selebi raises questions about elite networks and their impact on corruption.  

The spirit of unity that blanketed SA during the FIFA World Cup must be harnessed  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     16th July 2010 Even the most hardened of sceptics and cynics must, albeit grudgingly, accept that South Africa hosted one of the most magnificent soccer World Cups in the history of the game. The fact that we made history by becoming the first nation to be booted out in the first round of the tournament does... 

Let’s have a moratorium on political squabbling until after the World Cup  

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     11th June 2010 This month, we are hosting guests from all over the world who are here in the hope that their national soccer teams, and not Bafana Bafana, will lift the FIFA World Cup trophy when the curtain is drawn on the soccer spectacle.  

Reflections on Cope ructions 

By: Aubrey Matshiqi     14th May 2010 Is substantive democracy possible in a country that is not blessed with substantive uncertainty? 

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