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Sustaining Momentum

14th November 2014

By: Terence Creamer

Creamer Media Editor

  

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South Africa has been ranked third, after China and Brazil, in a new country-by-country assessment of 55 renewable-energy markets in Africa, Asia, Latin America and the Caribbean.

The Climatescope 2014 report and index, which was compiled by Bloomberg New Energy Finance on behalf of American and British government and development agencies, shows that clean-energy investments in developing countries have outpaced those in developed countries.

It also calculates that the installed base in developing countries has more than doubled in the past five years to 142 GW, which is slightly above the total installed capacity of France.

China, Brazil, South Africa, India, Chile, Uruguay, Kenya, Mexico, Indonesia and Uganda are ranked in the top ten, with South Africa having surged ahead with nearly $10-billion worth of clean energy investment in the last two years.

South Africa, the study found, accounted for almost 90% of investments in sub-Saharan Africa during this period and was second-best globally on the Climatescope’s Clean Energy Investment ranking, based on the cumulative growth rate in 2012/13 of clean- energy investment – Uruguay led the ranking.

Solar accounts for the largest share of clean-energy investment to date, with a total of $6.7-billion out of the $9.4-billion invested in South Afirca since 2006.

The study indicates that the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme (REIPPPP) has transformed the sector since its introduction in 2012. Prior to the REIPPPP reverse auctions, only $0.6-billion had been invested in renewables.

However, the country still performed poorly (36th) on the Enabling Framework Parameter, owing to its low electricity prices and other market-limiting developments, such as the fall in power demand in 2013. Only its clean energy policies scored well, the report notes.

South Africa also scores highly for the quotient of locally based financial backers, which amounted to $2-billion of the total $9.4-billion. “South Africa’s commercial banks have been major supporters of renewables and the main reason the country achieved a good score on the local investment indicator. Investment has also come from government institutions and asset managers within the country,” the study says, highlighting the role of the Industrial Development Corporation, which has financed 16 clean-energy projects to date.

However, the country’s largest deal in 2013 was the Eskom Upington solar thermal electricity generating plant, which did not fall under the REIPPPP.

The Eskom project will cost $1.2-billion, with all debt provided by development finance institutions. The next largest deal was ACWA Power’s 50 MW Bokpoort solar thermal plant at a cost of $506-million, followed by Cennergi’s Amakhala Emoyeni wind farm, at $412-million.

The report is welcome news for a country struggling on so many other fronts. However, it also comes at a time when there is growing concern about delays to the REIPPPP, which have been attributed mainly to grid-connection problems.

There are warnings that even the extended deadline for financial close on the third-bid window projects might not be met – this at a time when South Africa is experiencing serious supply- side constraints.

It’s surely vital that we not only sustain momentum around the REIPPPP, but also build on it – especially if we hope to attract industry around the programme.

Edited by Creamer Media Reporter

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