http://www.engineeringnews.co.za
  SEARCH
Login
R/€ = 13.15Change: -0.05
R/$ = 11.65Change: -0.10
Au 1283.66 $/ozChange: 10.51
Pt 1240.50 $/ozChange: 12.30
 
 
Note: Search is limited to the most recent 250 articles. Set date range to access earlier articles.
Where? With... When?








Start
 
End
 
 
And must exclude these words...
Close Main Search
Close Main Login
My Profile News Alerts Newsletters Logout Close Main Profile
 
Agriculture   Automotive   Chemicals   Competition Policy   Construction   Defence   Economy   Electricity   Energy   Environment   ICT   Metals   Mining   Science and Technology   Services   Trade   Transport & Logistics   Water  
What's On Press Office Tenders Suppliers Directory Research Jobs Announcements Letters Contact Us
 
 
 
RSS Feed
Article   Comments   Other News   Research   Magazine  
 
 
Nov 15, 2011

Monetary policy focus remains on hitting inflation target – Marcus

Back
Reserve Bank governor Gill Marcus discusses the country's monetary policy focus. Editing: Lionel da Silva
Johannesburg|Africa|Environment|Ports|Africa|South Africa|Energy|Gill Marcus|Infrastructure|Rail
|Africa|Environment|Ports|Africa||Energy|Infrastructure|Rail
johannesburg|africa-company|environment|ports|africa|south-africa|energy|gill-marcus|infrastructure|rail
© Reuse this



The Reserve Bank would maintain its monetary policy focus on achieving the inflation target of between 3% and 6% over the medium term, but would remain sensitive to the domestic economic situation, governor Gill Marcus said on Tuesday.

The “challenging times of uncertainty and possible unthinkable consequences in the European environment”, made it difficult for South Africa to pre-empt its policies, she said at a Swiss Chamber of Southern Africa event in Johannesburg.

The Reserve Bank kept its repo rate at a 30-year low of 5.5% last week.

Marcus said that there was a risk of stagflation in the domestic economy, with inflation rising and domestic growth still sluggish.

It still appeared that inflation was being driven by cost-push factors, as illustrated by the benign core inflation outcomes. However, the interaction between higher headline inflation and inflation expectations of wage and price setters was critical, Marcus said.

“To date inflation expectations appeared to be anchored at around the upper level of the target range, but the longer inflation remained outside the target, particularly if it surprises on the upside, the more precarious these expectations become, and the greater the upside risk to the inflation outlook,” she explained.

The Reserve Bank, she said, saw medium-term inflation outside the target range at this point, and regarded the breach, although extended, to be temporary.

In addition, the weak state of the economy also impacts on the approach taken.

“But we have to be vigilant on both sides. There is always a possibility of upside surprises to growth or a dislocation of inflation expectations from the target range, which could take inflation well above the target range.

“However, on the other side, although our assumption for European growth has been lowered, it does not contain the worst case scenario of a meltdown in the eurozone, which would have severe implications for the global economy and South Africa. Although this is seen as a tail risk, it is not a remote possibility.”

Also, the volatility of the rand would be determined by bouts of risk aversion in global financial markets.

The general expectation, said the governor, was that the rand was unlikely to return to previous levels of below R7 to the dollar, but to appreciate somewhat from current levels.

But, she said that a weaker rand also comes with its advantages, making exports more competitive and imported goods more expensive - providing a boost to domestic producers.

“This is in effect an easing of monetary conditions for domestic producers. However, this advantage will be short-lived if offset by higher wage and other input costs which offset the advantage faced by producers.”

But Marcus pointed out that an accommodative environment could not, on its own, generate the higher rates of growth that the South African economy required for employment creation.

Part of the solution, she explained, would need to come from improving much-needed infrastructure, such as in the energy, rail and ports sectors, which would strengthen export capacity.

There was also a need for sustained efforts to enhance South Africa’s ties with its traditional trading partners and also develop new trading relationships outside the eurozone.

“In these troubled times, it is important that trade relationships are not only preserved but enhanced. We are certainly living in interesting but difficult times, because the possibility that things can go horribly wrong is very high,” she said.
 

Edited by: Mariaan Webb
© Reuse this Comment Guidelines (150 word limit)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Economy News
The retail price of 95-grade petrol in South Africa will drop by 93c/ℓ or 8.3% from next Wednesday, while wholesale diesel price will decrease by 9.9%, the government said on Friday. Petrol will now cost R10.31 (nearly $1) a litre while the new wholesale diesel price...
Food affordability improved in nearly 75% of countries from September to November 2014, largely owing to a 2.8% decline in global food prices, which are forecast to fall further still. This is according to the results of the Economist Intelligence Unit’s (EIU’s)...
Gauteng Premier David Makhura and JSE CEO Nicky Newton-King after a meeting with JSE-listed companies on Friday
Gauteng Premier David Makhura has promised to outline a comprehensive energy plan in his upcoming State of the Province address, acknowledging that without direct interventions to bolster security of electricity supply the province’s industrialisation vision could be...
More
 
 
Latest News
SAA acting CEO Nico Bezuidenhout, Finance Minister Nhlanhla Nene and SAA chairperson Dudu Myeni
Finance Minister Nhlanhla Nene has assured that loss-making national carrier South African Airlines (SAA) will not receive another bailout from government, noting that the most recent R6.4-billion government guarantee had only been provided in support of an intensive...
South Africa's cumulative trade deficit was R95.3-billion in 2014, the South African Revenue Service (Sars) said on Friday. In 2013, it was R71.4-billion, Sars said in a statement.
Certain regulatory approvals remain outstanding in Telkom’s proposed R2.67-billion takeover of JSE-listed Business Connexion (BCX), the parties said in an update to shareholders on Friday. BCX noted in the statement that the Competition Authority of Botswana had...
More
 
 
Recent Research Reports
Construction 2015: A review of South Africa’s construction sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Construction 2015 Report examines South Africa’s construction industry over the past 12 months. The report provides insight into the business environment; the key participants in the sector; local construction demand; geographic diversification;...
Liquid Fuels 2014 - A review of South Africa's Liquid Fuels sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Liquid Fuels 2014 Report examines these issues, focusing on the business environment, oil and gas exploration, the country’s feedstock supplies, the development of South Africa’s biofuels industry, fuel pricing, competition in the sector, the...
Water 2014: A review of South Africa's water sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Water 2014 report considers the aforementioned issues, not only in the South African context, but also in the African and global context, and examines the issues of water and sanitation, water quality and the demand for water, among others.
Defence 2014: A review of South Africa's defence industry (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Defence 2014 report examines South Africa’s defence industry, with particular focus on the key participants in the sector, the innovations that have come out of the sector, local and export demand, South Africa’s controversial multibillion-rand...
Road and Rail 2014: A review of South Africa's road and rail infrastructure (PDF report)
Creamer Media’s Road and Rail 2014 report examines South Africa’s road and rail transport system, with particular focus on the size and state of the country’s road and rail network, the funding and maintenance of these respective networks, and the push to move road...
Real Economy Year Book 2014 (PDF Report)
This edition drills down into the performance and outlook for a variety of sectors, including automotive, construction, electricity, transport, steel, water, coal, gold, iron-ore and platinum.
 
 
 
 
 
This Week's Magazine
The international Square Kilometre Array (SKA) radio telescope – which is to be jointly hosted by South Africa and Australia with, later, outstations in other countries – may not yet exist, but international scientific working groups are already deciding what...
A free Web-based solar power plant capacity-planning tool offers project planners and developers, as well as governments, a means to assess the solar energy potential of thin-film solar PV power over an area of land. The tool was developed by thin-film solar...
As yet, no specific methodology, timeline or costs have been finalised to remedy the water ingress, excessive to contractual specifications, into the Gautrain tunnel between emergency shaft two (E2) and Park Station, says Bombela Concession Company technical and...
ASTRAPAK The group highlighted that executive strategic interventions and other group-wide business improvement imperatives were progressing favourably
The “seriously disruptive” electricity outages in South Africa have cost packaging group Astrapak more than R2-million in “irrecoverable downtime costs”, the company said on Monday, adding that the power cuts were negating some of the benefit of energy saving...
Bakkies and more affordable cars dominated South Africa’s new vehicle market in 2014. Unaudited data from the Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) shows that South Africa’s most popular vehicle in 2014 was the Toyota Hilux, selling 37 562 units.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alert Close
Embed Code Close
content
Research Reports Close
Research Reports are a product of the
Research Channel Africa. Reports can be bought individually or you can gain full access to all reports as part of a Research Channel Africa subscription.
Find Out More Buy Report
 
 
Close
Engineering News
Completely Re-Engineered
Experience it now. Click here
*website to launch in a few weeks