http://www.engineeringnews.co.za
  SEARCH
Login
R/€ = 13.05Change: 0.09
R/$ = 12.00Change: 0.15
Au 1199.94 $/ozChange: 23.74
Pt 1143.00 $/ozChange: 20.50
 
 
Note: Search is limited to the most recent 250 articles. Set date range to access earlier articles.
Where? With... When?








Start
 
End
 
 
And must exclude these words...
Close Main Search
Close Main Login
My Profile News Alerts Newsletters Logout Close Main Profile
 
Agriculture   Automotive   Chemicals   Competition Policy   Construction   Defence   Economy   Electricity   Energy   Environment   ICT   Metals   Mining   Science and Technology   Services   Trade   Transport & Logistics   Water  
What's On Press Office Tenders Suppliers Directory Research Jobs Announcements Letters Contact Us
 
 
 
RSS Feed
Article   Comments   Other News   Research   Magazine  
 
 
Nov 15, 2011

Monetary policy focus remains on hitting inflation target – Marcus

Back
Reserve Bank governor Gill Marcus discusses the country's monetary policy focus. Editing: Lionel da Silva
 
 
 
Africa|Environment|Export|Ports|Africa|Energy|Infrastructure|Rail
Africa|Environment|Export|Ports|Africa|Energy|Infrastructure|Rail
africa-company|environment|export|ports|africa|energy|infrastructure|rail
© Reuse this



The Reserve Bank would maintain its monetary policy focus on achieving the inflation target of between 3% and 6% over the medium term, but would remain sensitive to the domestic economic situation, governor Gill Marcus said on Tuesday.

The “challenging times of uncertainty and possible unthinkable consequences in the European environment”, made it difficult for South Africa to pre-empt its policies, she said at a Swiss Chamber of Southern Africa event in Johannesburg.

The Reserve Bank kept its repo rate at a 30-year low of 5.5% last week.

Marcus said that there was a risk of stagflation in the domestic economy, with inflation rising and domestic growth still sluggish.

It still appeared that inflation was being driven by cost-push factors, as illustrated by the benign core inflation outcomes. However, the interaction between higher headline inflation and inflation expectations of wage and price setters was critical, Marcus said.

“To date inflation expectations appeared to be anchored at around the upper level of the target range, but the longer inflation remained outside the target, particularly if it surprises on the upside, the more precarious these expectations become, and the greater the upside risk to the inflation outlook,” she explained.

The Reserve Bank, she said, saw medium-term inflation outside the target range at this point, and regarded the breach, although extended, to be temporary.

In addition, the weak state of the economy also impacts on the approach taken.

“But we have to be vigilant on both sides. There is always a possibility of upside surprises to growth or a dislocation of inflation expectations from the target range, which could take inflation well above the target range.

“However, on the other side, although our assumption for European growth has been lowered, it does not contain the worst case scenario of a meltdown in the eurozone, which would have severe implications for the global economy and South Africa. Although this is seen as a tail risk, it is not a remote possibility.”

Also, the volatility of the rand would be determined by bouts of risk aversion in global financial markets.

The general expectation, said the governor, was that the rand was unlikely to return to previous levels of below R7 to the dollar, but to appreciate somewhat from current levels.

But, she said that a weaker rand also comes with its advantages, making exports more competitive and imported goods more expensive - providing a boost to domestic producers.

“This is in effect an easing of monetary conditions for domestic producers. However, this advantage will be short-lived if offset by higher wage and other input costs which offset the advantage faced by producers.”

But Marcus pointed out that an accommodative environment could not, on its own, generate the higher rates of growth that the South African economy required for employment creation.

Part of the solution, she explained, would need to come from improving much-needed infrastructure, such as in the energy, rail and ports sectors, which would strengthen export capacity.

There was also a need for sustained efforts to enhance South Africa’s ties with its traditional trading partners and also develop new trading relationships outside the eurozone.

“In these troubled times, it is important that trade relationships are not only preserved but enhanced. We are certainly living in interesting but difficult times, because the possibility that things can go horribly wrong is very high,” she said.
 

Edited by: Mariaan Webb
© Reuse this Comment Guidelines (150 word limit)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Economy News
Information and communications technology (ICT) distributor DCC is making Windows- and Android-operating systems tablets available through retailers and education equipment suppliers to provide school children with affordable, high-performance education tools. The...
The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s (Sacci’s) Business Confidence Index (BCI) decreased by 3.7 index points month-on-month to 89.1 in March.
As is well known, at the end of last month, retired General Muhammadu Buhari defeated incumbent President Goodluck Jonathan in Nigeria’s Presidential elections. A northerner and a Muslim, Buhari won a majority of the votes in predominantly Christian States in the...
More
 
 
Latest News
Top aluminium producer United Company Rusal will start producing metal at its Boguchansk project, in Russia, by June and will ramp up output over the following year depending on demand, the company's chief executive said on Monday. Weak aluminium prices are forcing...
Dubal Holding, the holding company for Dubai's stake in Emirates Global Aluminium and other assets, is considering possible acquisitions in local and international energy projects, it said on Monday. The firm was looking for equity interests related to coal, solar,...
South African mining and energy adviser Ted Blom has raised a litany of concerns about the state of power utility Eskom and has warned of runaway costs and shortfalls in coal and water, as well as rail capacity. Blom was surprised by the recent buoyancy shown by...
More
 
 
Recent Research Reports
Steel 2015: A review of South Africa's steel sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Steel 2015 report provides an overview of the key developments in the global steel industry and particularly of South Africa’s steel sector over the past year, including details of production and consumption, as well as the country's primary carbon...
Projects in Progress 2015 - First Edition (PDF Report)
In fact, this edition of Creamer Media’s Projects in Progress 2015 supplement tracks developments taking place under the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme, which has had four bidding rounds. It appears to remain a shining light on the...
Electricity 2015: A review of South Africa's electricity sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Electricity 2015 report provides an overview of State-owned power utility Eskom and independent power producers, as well as electricity planning, transmission, distribution and the theft thereof, besides other issues.
Construction 2015: A review of South Africa’s construction sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Construction 2015 Report examines South Africa’s construction industry over the past 12 months. The report provides insight into the business environment; the key participants in the sector; local construction demand; geographic diversification;...
Liquid Fuels 2014 - A review of South Africa's Liquid Fuels sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Liquid Fuels 2014 Report examines these issues, focusing on the business environment, oil and gas exploration, the country’s feedstock supplies, the development of South Africa’s biofuels industry, fuel pricing, competition in the sector, the...
Water 2014: A review of South Africa's water sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Water 2014 report considers the aforementioned issues, not only in the South African context, but also in the African and global context, and examines the issues of water and sanitation, water quality and the demand for water, among others.
 
 
 
 
 
This Week's Magazine
Sappi Southern Africa CEO Alex Thiel
Forest products group Sappi has confirmed the selection of its 25 MW biomass-to-power project, to be erected at its Ngodwana mill, in Mpumalanga, as a preferred bidder under the South African government’s Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement...
Information and communications technology (ICT) distributor DCC is making Windows- and Android-operating systems tablets available through retailers and education equipment suppliers to provide school children with affordable, high-performance education tools. The...
Another cement manufacturer is set to enter the Ugandan market, raising hopes that prices will come down and spur growth in the construction industry. National Cement, a Kenyan manufacturer, has unveiled plans to invest $195-million in a new manufacturing plant in...
With growth rates exceeding that in the developed world – at an average of between 4% and 5% between 2002 and 2014 – African countries provide investors with ample reason to tap into booming consumer demand says Manufacturing Circle executive director Coenraad...
The South African Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s (Sacci’s) Business Confidence Index (BCI) decreased by 3.7 index points month-on-month to 89.1 in March.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alert Close
Embed Code Close
content
Research Reports Close
Research Reports are a product of the
Research Channel Africa. Reports can be bought individually or you can gain full access to all reports as part of a Research Channel Africa subscription.
Find Out More Buy Report
 
 
Close
Engineering News
Completely Re-Engineered
Experience it now. Click here
*website to launch in a few weeks
Subscribe Now for $96 Close
Subscribe Now for $96