http://www.engineeringnews.co.za
  SEARCH
Login
R/€ = 13.04Change: 0.08
R/$ = 12.05Change: 0.25
Au 1186.86 $/ozChange: 1.06
Pt 1142.00 $/ozChange: 1.50
 
 
Note: Search is limited to the most recent 250 articles. Set date range to access earlier articles.
Where? With... When?








Start
 
End
 
 
And must exclude these words...
Close Main Search
Close Main Login
My Profile News Alerts Newsletters Logout Close Main Profile
 
Agriculture   Automotive   Chemicals   Competition Policy   Construction   Defence   Economy   Electricity   Energy   Environment   ICT   Metals   Mining   Science and Technology   Services   Trade   Transport & Logistics   Water  
What's On Press Office Tenders Suppliers Directory Research Jobs Announcements Letters Contact Us
 
 
 
RSS Feed
Article   Comments   Other News   Research   Magazine  
 
 
Aug 17, 2012

Lead-up to Mangaung exciting South Africa’s popular imagination

Back
Political analyst Aubrey Matshiqi speaks to Polity about the lead-up to Mangaung, which is exciting South Africa’s popular imagination. Camera: Nicholas Boyd. Editing: Darlene Creamer. Recorded: 15/08/2012
 
 
 
Mangaung|Africa|Resources|System|Africa|South Africa|Jacob Zuma|Julius Malema|Kgalema Motlanthe|Thabo Masebe|Tokyo Sexwale
|Africa|Resources|System|Africa||
mangaung-city|africa-company|resources|system|africa|south-africa|jacob-zuma|julius-malema|kgalema-motlanthe|thabo-masebe|tokyo-sexwale
© Reuse this



In October, if things go according to schedule, the African National Congress (ANC) will officially start the leadership nominations process, two months before its fifty-third national conference.

Ordinarily, the internal leadership battles of a political party, even those of a ruling party, should not excite the popular imagination in the manner that the ANC’s presidential race has. If South Africa had a competitive party system, the excitement would not be limited to what happens inside a single politi- cal party. Because ours is an uncompetitive party system in which the gap in electoral support between the ANC and the rest remains wide, the outcome of the Mangaung conference of the ANC will, besides other things, deliver the next President of the country. In short, the person who will be elected ANC president in December will, without a shadow of doubt, be elected head of State when South Africa celebrates 20 years of democracy in 2014.

Who, then, will lead South Africa into its third decade of democracy? Is it going to be the incumbent, Jacob Zuma, Deputy President Kgalema Motlanthe or Human Settlements Minister Tokyo Sexwale? Who are the individuals and political forces that are going to determine the direction of the leadership battle? What is the nature of the resources that will be required? And do policy issues matter?

To begin with, there is this thing called the slate. In fact, in the leadership race, each ANC faction enters the field of battle armed with its own slate. For the uninitiated, a slate is simply a list of the individuals a faction believes should be elected to key positions. Since the slates are not the same, three things will happen. First, lobbying in support of preferred candidates will take place. Second, there will be some horse trading. Third, some dirty fighting will occur.

However, the thing to remember is that, despite the decision of the ruling party’s national executive committee to bar ANC members from engaging in succession talk until October, there has been a lot of unofficial lobbying and lobbying disguised as official ANC and government business. Some have used their positions in government to use official functions as an opportunity to lobby for support. Others have resorted to giving lectures in the name of ANC icons to disguise their true intentions. For instance, extolling the leadership virtues of an ANC icon has become a way of creating an ‘other’ in contradistinction to such an icon to highlight or invent the leadership weaknesses of an opponent. Over and above all these shenanigans, two things have happened: there is a perception that it is only those who support Zuma who have been able to campaign without fear and policy and other debates have, to some extent, become proxies for the expression of narrow leadership and political preferences.

With four months to go, who are the frontrunners?

The leadership race will probably turn into a three-horse race that will wind down to a two-horse race. The people worth mentioning in this regard are Zuma, Motlanthe and Sexwale. Motlanthe has been characteris- tically reticent about whether he is going to throw his hat into the ring. The closest we have got to an indication that he will run are two statements from his spokesperson, Thabo Masebe. During a radio interview, Masebe argued that no one was entitled to a position in the ANC and then clarified that when one enters a leadership race in accordance with the wishes of ANC members, such a person is challenging no one.

According to my decoder, what he meant is that Zuma is not entitled to the position of ANC president and ANC members are free to nominate anyone for that position. Masebe also intimated that Motlanthe would serve in any capacity in accordance with the wishes of ANC branches. Signals from my decoder suggest that it is reasonable to think of Motlanthe as a presidential candidate. But Motlanthe has three problems. Some of his supporters do not believe he has the stomach for what may be a dirty presidential campaign. In addition, former Youth League president Julius Malema and Sexwale may become a headache for his strategists. Motlanthe needs to manage the perception that Malema will be reinstated as a member of the ANC and Youth League president if Zuma is unseated.

There is always the possibility that even some of the opponents of the President may vote for his re-election if the alterna- tive is the reinstatement of Malema. Given some of the errors Sexwale has been making and the fact that some slates have him in the position of Motlanthe’s deputy, Motlanthe must decide whether it is having him too close or at a distance that will work against his ambitions.

Tune in next month for the next instalment of the succession story.

Edited by: Martin Zhuwakinyu
© Reuse this Comment Guidelines (150 word limit)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Other Aubrey Matshiqi News
The year 2014 is the year during which South Africa celebrated 20 years of democracy. But 2014 is also the year during which chinks in our liberal democratic project seemed to occupy centre stage in expressions of pessimism about the direction the ruling party, our...
Article contains comments
Article contains comments
More
 
 
Latest News
Updated 7 minutes ago South Africa's rand extended losses against the dollar early on Monday after a statement by US Federal Reserve chairperson Janet Yellen on Friday signalled the bank was on course to raise interest rates later this year, stoking greenback buying. By 0645 GMT the rand...
Updated 39 minutes ago Creamer Media’s Electricity 2015 report provides an overview of State-owned power utility Eskom and independent power producers, as well as electricity planning, transmission, distribution and the theft thereof, besides other issues.
DA Parliamentary leader Mmusi Maimane
Updated 1 hour 7 minutes ago Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa must provide the country and Parliament with a comprehensive report on the state of Eskom, the Democratic Alliance said on Sunday. DA Parliamentary leader Mmusi Maimane said in a statement he had written to Ramaphosa requesting that...
More
 
 
Recent Research Reports
Projects in Progress 2015 - First Edition (PDF Report)
In fact, this edition of Creamer Media’s Projects in Progress 2015 supplement tracks developments taking place under the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme, which has had four bidding rounds. It appears to remain a shining light on the...
Electricity 2015: A review of South Africa's electricity sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Electricity 2015 report provides an overview of State-owned power utility Eskom and independent power producers, as well as electricity planning, transmission, distribution and the theft thereof, besides other issues.
Construction 2015: A review of South Africa’s construction sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Construction 2015 Report examines South Africa’s construction industry over the past 12 months. The report provides insight into the business environment; the key participants in the sector; local construction demand; geographic diversification;...
Liquid Fuels 2014 - A review of South Africa's Liquid Fuels sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Liquid Fuels 2014 Report examines these issues, focusing on the business environment, oil and gas exploration, the country’s feedstock supplies, the development of South Africa’s biofuels industry, fuel pricing, competition in the sector, the...
Water 2014: A review of South Africa's water sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Water 2014 report considers the aforementioned issues, not only in the South African context, but also in the African and global context, and examines the issues of water and sanitation, water quality and the demand for water, among others.
Defence 2014: A review of South Africa's defence industry (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Defence 2014 report examines South Africa’s defence industry, with particular focus on the key participants in the sector, the innovations that have come out of the sector, local and export demand, South Africa’s controversial multibillion-rand...
 
 
 
 
 
This Week's Magazine
Projected capital expenditure (capex) in the South African automotive assembly industry should reach a record R7.48-billion this year, says the National Association of Automobile Manufacturers of South Africa (Naamsa) in its 2014 fourth quarter business review. Capex...
After several years of navigating project-threatening red tape and currency fluctuations, the 4.4 MW Bronkhorstspruit biogas power plant, which will supply clean energy to a leading automotive manufacturer in Gauteng, is expected to enter production before June....
RESOURCEFUL The raw material for the pilot plant would be supplied from the dissolving wood pulp plants at Sappi’s Saiccor and Ngodwana mills, in South Africa, and the Cloquet mill, in the US
South African paper and pulp producer Sappi reported earlier this month that it would build a pilot plant for the production of low-cost Cellulose NanoFibrils, or CNF (nanocellulose) at the Brightlands Chemelot Campus in Sittard-Geleen in the Netherlands.
The long-term outlook for Nigeria is a country that has the potential to be very strong. So affirmed International Monetary Fund (IMF) Nigeria Mission Chief and Senior Resident Representative Dr Gene Leon on recently. "But we are starting from a point of huge...
Poor infrastructure planning and inadequate maintenance are becoming increasingly problematic for new developments and the associated infrastructure required to support such developments. In many urban and rural municipalities, the state of infrastructure has been...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alert Close
Embed Code Close
content
Research Reports Close
Research Reports are a product of the
Research Channel Africa. Reports can be bought individually or you can gain full access to all reports as part of a Research Channel Africa subscription.
Find Out More Buy Report
 
 
Close
Engineering News
Completely Re-Engineered
Experience it now. Click here
*website to launch in a few weeks
Subscribe Now for $96 Close
Subscribe Now for $96