http://www.engineeringnews.co.za
  SEARCH
Login
R/€ = 13.13Change: -0.02
R/$ = 12.07Change: -0.13
Au 1187.17 $/ozChange: -20.08
Pt 1125.50 $/ozChange: -23.50
 
 
Note: Search is limited to the most recent 250 articles. Set date range to access earlier articles.
Where? With... When?








Start
 
End
 
 
And must exclude these words...
Close Main Search
Close Main Login
My Profile News Alerts Newsletters Logout Close Main Profile
 
Agriculture   Automotive   Chemicals   Competition Policy   Construction   Defence   Economy   Electricity   Energy   Environment   ICT   Metals   Mining   Science and Technology   Services   Trade   Transport & Logistics   Water  
What's On Press Office Tenders Suppliers Directory Research Jobs Announcements Letters Contact Us
 
 
 
RSS Feed
Article   Comments   Other News   Research   Magazine  
 
 
Jun 12, 2012

Advanced economies holding back global growth

Back
Nedbank Group Economic Unit Senior Economist Nicky Weimar discusses South Africa's positioning in the upcoming European recession. Camerawork: Nicholas Boyd. Editing: Darlene Creamer. Recorded: 12.06.2012
 
 
 
Africa|Environment|Mining|Nedbank Group|Africa|Europe|Brazil|China|France|Germany|Greece|Indonesia|South Africa|United Kingdom|United States|Merchantec CEO Confidence|Nicky Weimar
Africa|Environment|Mining||Africa||||
africa-company|environment|mining|nedbank-group|africa|europe|brazil|china|france|germany|greece|indonesia|south-africa|united-kingdom|united-states|merchantec-ceo-confidence|nicky-weimar
© Reuse this



Advanced economies were holding back the global economic recovery with slow, staggered growth, a loss of momentum and a possible fall back into recession in Europe, said Nedbank Group economic unit senior economist Nicky Weimar on Tuesday.

Since the financial recession in 2008, global economic growth has been slow, weak and “frustrating”, she said, adding that Europe was expected to enter another recession during the third quarter of 2012.

Speaking at an economic breakfast, in Sandton, on Tuesday, Weimar said staggered growth in the US, Europe and other advanced economies, accounting for 19%, 14% and 18%, respectively, of the world’s production, had stunted consumption of production on the back of debt, uncertainty and lack of confidence.

South Africa’s growth was a function of what occurred internationally and emerging economies, which accounted for 49% of the world’s production, relied on advanced economies as the bulk consumer.

Europe remained a major trading partner for South Africa, with 70% of South African CEOs canvassed in the Merchantec CEO Confidence Index, published on Tuesday, indicating that their business was more affected by economic conditions in Europe than those in China.

While parts of the US economy look stronger, confidence was lagging with State debt at 106.6% to gross domestic product (GDP) remaining high, and the country’s residents refraining from spending in a constrained labour-tight environment.

Many countries still held high and unsustainable government debt. Greece reached a ratio of 135.2% to GDP, other advanced economies recorded a debt of 106.5% and Brazil held 65.1%. South Africa was currently holding a debt ratio of 40%, while China and Indonesia had 22% and 23.2% respectively. Weimar said that no nation should move past 60% of a debt to GDP ratio.

Further, household debt levels, while easing, were still high, particularly in the US and the UK, at 110% and 170%, respectively, of disposable income – a healthy ratio of debt to disposable income was 60%.

Recovering economic growth did not mitigate the debt created by governments to emerge intact out of the recession. Weimar said the strength of recovery was too slow to make a dent in the debt and investor confidence in bouncing back was overestimated.

In Europe, only two countries reached growth levels above their position when recession hit, namely Germany and France, while the remainder of the European countries continued dipping into recession and remained below their growth potential.

Subpar growth was also expected for other advanced economies for many years to come, said Weimar.

South Africa experienced a slow, “patchy” growth, but exports remained far below the level on which it entered the recession. The expected European recession would further strain exports during 2012.

South Africa’s growth slowed to 2.7% in the first quarter, from 3.2% in the final quarter of 2011, hit by a sharp contraction in mining.

Edited by: Mariaan Webb
© Reuse this Comment Guidelines (150 word limit)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Latest News
Economic bilateral relations between South Africa and Peru will receive a shot on the arm when businesspeople from the two countries gather in Lima, Peru, to launch the South Africa–Peru Chamber of Commerce (Sapcham) on Wednesday. The chamber aimed to increase trade...
Tongaat Hulett CEO Peter Staude
JSE-listed Tongaat Hulett CEO Peter Staude told shareholders and analysts on Tuesday that of the company’s land assets, 39% was either in the process of undergoing an environmental-impact assessment, being released from agriculture, had formally submitted a planning...
Trade union Solidarity on Tuesday lambasted government for importing foreign skills in the form of 48 Cuban engineers, instead of appointing South African engineers, calling it a “disgrace”. The first of 48 Cuban engineers, appointed to improve service delivery in...
More
 
 
Recent Research Reports
Steel 2015: A review of South Africa's steel sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Steel 2015 report provides an overview of the key developments in the global steel industry and particularly of South Africa’s steel sector over the past year, including details of production and consumption, as well as the country's primary carbon...
Projects in Progress 2015 - First Edition (PDF Report)
In fact, this edition of Creamer Media’s Projects in Progress 2015 supplement tracks developments taking place under the Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement Programme, which has had four bidding rounds. It appears to remain a shining light on the...
Electricity 2015: A review of South Africa's electricity sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Electricity 2015 report provides an overview of State-owned power utility Eskom and independent power producers, as well as electricity planning, transmission, distribution and the theft thereof, besides other issues.
Construction 2015: A review of South Africa’s construction sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Construction 2015 Report examines South Africa’s construction industry over the past 12 months. The report provides insight into the business environment; the key participants in the sector; local construction demand; geographic diversification;...
Liquid Fuels 2014 - A review of South Africa's Liquid Fuels sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Liquid Fuels 2014 Report examines these issues, focusing on the business environment, oil and gas exploration, the country’s feedstock supplies, the development of South Africa’s biofuels industry, fuel pricing, competition in the sector, the...
Water 2014: A review of South Africa's water sector (PDF Report)
Creamer Media’s Water 2014 report considers the aforementioned issues, not only in the South African context, but also in the African and global context, and examines the issues of water and sanitation, water quality and the demand for water, among others.
 
 
 
 
 
This Week's Magazine
While economic forecasts for the African continent are most favourable, African airlines may not be able to benefit from the expected growth in the region’s gross domestic product (GDP), International Air Transport Association VP: Africa Raphael Kuuchi has warned....
The Automotive Production and Development Programme (APDP) will need to change substantially post 2020, says Metair Investments South African operations COO Ken Lello. “We must not make tweaks. We have to change. What we are doing is not sustainable.”
Banking group Absa’s forecast is for the rand to end the year at around R13 against the dollar, weakening further to R13.50 by 2016, says Absa sectoral analyst Jacques du Toit. He warns that possible interest rate hikes in the US may see capital being pulled from...
The Dispute Resolution Centre at the Bargaining Council for the Civil Engineering Industry (BCCEI) is now open to handle party-to-party disputes. The BCCEI represents the interests of all level four to nine Construction Industry Development Board companies.
FREDRIK JEJDLING Sustainability becomes an important part of a business’ decision-making process
Communications technology firm Ericsson sub-Saharan Africa head Fredrik Jejdling says the company’s commitment to sustainability and corporate responsibility has been integrated into all facets of its operations, which has provided it with sustainable revenue...
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Alert Close
Embed Code Close
content
Research Reports Close
Research Reports are a product of the
Research Channel Africa. Reports can be bought individually or you can gain full access to all reports as part of a Research Channel Africa subscription.
Find Out More Buy Report
 
 
Close
Engineering News
Completely Re-Engineered
Experience it now. Click here
*website to launch in a few weeks
Subscribe Now for $96 Close
Subscribe Now for $96